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Municipal bonds get some love from investors

USA Today - March 7, 2011 - By John Waggoner

Investors are starting to hate municipal bonds just a little bit less — and that could help states struggling to refinance their debts.

An estimated net $4.6 billion fled muni funds the four weeks ended Feb. 23, the latest figures available from the Investment Company Institute, the funds' trade group.
Bad as that sounds, it's far better than the $12.4 billion that fled the funds in January and the $12.9 billion that left in December. All told, $37.7 billion has poured out of muni funds since Oct. 31.

ASK MATT: Muni bonds have become riskier but are they still safe?

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In contrast, investors have showered taxable bond funds with an estimated $21 billion in net new money the same period.

Muni bond yields have fallen, too, meaning that investors are willing to accept a lower payout for the risk they're taking. For example, top-rated 10-year munis yielded 3.43% on Jan. 4, according to Bloomberg. They yielded 3.17% Friday.

Why things are looking a bit brighter for munis:

•More revenue. States are seeing a 6% to 7% revenue increase from this time last year, says Mark Zandi, economist for Moody's Analytics. About a third of that is from tax increases, the rest from better economic growth.

•Less supply. Municipalities issued about $25 billion in new bonds in January and February, says Hugh McGuirk, head of municipal bond investments at T. Rowe Price. Total 2011 issuance was estimated at $400 billion. "It's going to come in a lot less," he says.

For the complete article.
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