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Pimco’s Gross Says Bond Bull Market Probably Ended April 29 (2)

Bloombert Businessweek. - May 10, 2013 - By Paul Cox and Alexis Leondis

Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Bill Gross, manager of the world’s biggest fixed-income fund, said the 30-year bull market for bonds has probably ended as yields reached a low and prices peaked.

“You need to look at an amalgamation of Treasuries, mortgages and corporates, and not just Treasuries,” Gross, co-founder and co-chief investment officer of Newport Beach, California-based Pimco, said in an e-mailed statement. “Measured on that basis, 4/29/13 has been the price high and yield low, to this point.”

Gross, who earned the nickname “The Bond King” in media outlets and was awarded fixed-income manager of the decade in January 2010 by Morningstar Inc., said today on Twitter that the bond bull market has “likely ended” and that fixed-income returns will probably be in the range of 2 percent to 3 percent. Gross spoke about an end to the fixed-income market rally in 2010, saying in March of that year that bonds may have seen their best days and then eight months later that a renewal of asset purchases by the Federal Reserve would probably signify an end of the bond bull market.

The yield on Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s U.S. Broad Market Index, which includes Treasuries, corporate debt and mortgage bonds, fell below 1.58 percent on April 29, before rebounding to 1.67 as of yesterday. Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes fell to 1.61 percent on May 1, the least since December. The yield dropped to a record low of 1.38 percent in July 2012. The yield climbed to 1.93 percent today, reaching the highest intraday level since March 26.

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