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5/10/2013Market Performance

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BAM PFB $0.26   Jun 12
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Cash outflows from muni bond funds halt as market rallies

Los Angles Times - May 18, 2011 - Money and Company

The bleeding finally has stopped: Municipal bond mutual funds took in a net $38 million in new cash from investors last week, the first inflow since November, new data show.

The turnaround for the muni fund industry follows six straight weeks of rising bond values and falling interest rates, as the $2.9-trillion tax-free muni market has rebounded after a wave of selling late last year and early this year.

The return to cash inflows suggests that many investors are buying only because the market is rallying; they passed up the chance to buy at the lows (meaning the highs in rates) earlier this year because the risks seemed too great at the time.

Still, fund portfolio managers will welcome the shift: When cash was leaving it forced many managers to dump bonds at cheap prices.

The muni sell-off from November to late-January had been triggered by surging worries about the health of state and local government finances. It was egged-on by Wall Street banking analyst Meredith Whitney, who in late-December made a now-infamous prediction that "hundreds of billions of dollars" of municipal bond debt would end up in default in 2011.

Whitney was roundly trashed by many muni market pros for fueling a panic in the market. As bond values fell, driving down the share prices of muni mutual funds, investors fled the funds in droves --  causing further declines in muni values and driving yields sharply higher.

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