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Why New Jersey Needs Cash

Time CNN.com - June 28, 2011 -  by STEPHEN GANDEL

New Jersey, one of the richest states in the nation, is nearly broke.

Starting next week the Garden State could be unable to pay its bills unless it secures a short-term loan of $2.25 billion, which it is reportedly close to doing with JPMorgan Chase. New Jersey's fiscal year starts July 1st. Usually it has a fair amount of money left over from the year before. But this year, New Jersey's excess reserves aren't enough to cover it in the first few months of its fiscal year. The state plans to do a late summer bond offering, which will shore up its cash problem. But until then, the Garden State is what you would call cash poor. So New Jersey is going the unusual route of getting a bridge loan from J.P. Morgan.

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New Jersey's economy does appear to be in pretty poor shape. In May, at a time when unemployment around the country continues to rise, albeit slowly, state unemployment in New Jersey fell by 400 jobs, and the unemployment rate rose to 9.4%, which is slightly higher than the rest of the nation. And I think Chris Christie's effort to scare the state into agreeing to cut its municipal workforce is doing more harm than good. Nonetheless, I don't think today's news about New Jersey's finances signals a new round of trouble in the muni bond market. Here's why: Earlier this year, municipal bonds were seen as one the biggest risks in the market. A number of prominent analysts predicted that state and local governments could default on their debt in record numbers, causing a mini-financial crisis. But so far this year, those defaults have yet to materialize. In fact, muni bonds have turned out to be one of the better investments around this year, with prices up nearly 7% on average through late June. Why is that?

First of all, the New Jersey news is not as bad as it seems. In a way it's a sign of improvement. Two years ago, when California and Illinois needed cash they couldn't get a bank to lend them money. We were still in the middle of the financial crisis cash crunch, and banks weren't about to lend to troubled states. Instead, California and Illinois started issuing IOUs. That understandably made it much tougher for those states to borrow more money. Illinois had to raise its state income and property taxes. That has temporarily helped the problem there. But California is still facing higher borrowing costs because of the IOUs.


Read more: http://curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com/2011/06/28/why-new-jersey-needs-cash/#ixzz1Qhd8N1Ud


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