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5/10/2013Market Performance

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S&P National Bond Index 3.00% 0.02
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AESYY $0.28 IAD increased from 0.0303 to 0.2771   May 16
AQN PRA $0.28   Jun 12
BAM PFA $0.28   Jun 12
BAM PFB $0.26   Jun 12
BAM PFC $0.30 IAD decreased from 0.4119 to 0.3031   Jun 12
BAM PRG $0.24   Jul 11
BAM PRJ $0.34   Jun 12
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Gains from long-term Treasurys won't go on forever

The Washington Post - July 6, 2010 - By Allan Sloan

Financial markets can make you look really foolish, even if you thought your analysis was right, and still do. Today's humbling example: The best investment by far for the first half of this year has been the one that people like me have been warning against: long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.

I've also said (and said) that you have to protect yourself against a decline in the value of the dollar because our need to borrow huge amounts to cover trade and budget deficits is eroding the greenback's standing as the world's reserve currency.

But guess what: Even though it's been a crummy year for U.S. stocks, the performance of foreign stocks has been considerably crummier.

Now, to the numbers, courtesy of Aronson + Johnson + Ortiz (AJO), a Philadelphia money-management firm that tracks investment returns for 48 asset classes.

The only investment that showed a double-digit positive return for the first half of this year was . . . long-term Treasury securities. Their total return -- price gains plus interest -- was 13.2 percent.

Meanwhile, non-U.S. stocks lost 12.2 percent (price declines and reinvested dividends) for the first half, and U.S. stocks lost 5.6 percent.

What's happening, of course, is that we're seeing a somewhat different version of the phenomenon in 2007-08, when scared investors sought refuge in U.S. Treasury securities because they feared a worldwide financial meltdown.

This year, it's the European problem that has prompted investors to seek safety in Treasurys.

"When the world seems to be about to collapse and you want to stay liquid, the only viable trade is the U.S. dollar and Treasurys," says Brian Wenzinger of AJO.

For the complete article visit The Washington Post
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