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Unguaranteed Fannie bonds may yield double-digits
Approach to spread credit risk is based on Freddie multi-family securitizations

MarketWatch - Nov. 7, 2011 - By Ronald D. Orol

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — A proposal floated by the Obama administration and Freddie Mac to induce private mortgage investors back into the single-family loan industry likely would need to offer double-digit yields to entice buyers, analysts say.

The approach, which is still in the conceptual study phase, would have Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the two government-seized mortgage giants, sell single family mortgage securitizations of which a small slice — 5% or 10% — would be sold without a government guarantee. Investors buying the subordinated security would be the first to take a loss if mortgages in the package default. To attract these investors, Freddie and Fannie would need to offer a higher yield.

“Because there is still a lot of risk aversion in the market and people are still reluctant to put capital to work right now, they would need to be offered 10% or even higher yields to buy unguaranteed securities,” said Chris Flanagan, head of U.S. mortgage and structured finance research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

“There are people out there who are willing to do that sort of investing, not as many as those who would buy the guaranteed securities, but there are people who know mortgage credit well and would buy it for a 10% or greater yield,” he added

Regulators are considering the approach because of the success of an existing program that Freddie Mac has employed to sell some multi-family mortgage securities without a government guarantee.

The goal of the new approach would be to begin the process of defrosting the private-label single-family mortgage securities market, which has been all but frozen and unable to function since the financial crisis of 2008.

Outgoing Freddie Mac CEO Charles Haldeman said Oct. 11 at a Mortgage Bankers Association conference in Chicago that he hopes to use the firm’s multi-family mortgage securitizations as a template for attracting private capital to the single-family mortgage securities market.

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