Time Warner 7 December (UBS) Underperform from Market Perform
Time Warner: We change to Underperform from Market Perform
The following is a summary of a UBS report on this topic, dated December 7, 2005.
* Icahn hires Lazard Ltd. to analyze TWX: Icahn has made further efforts to change strategy at TWX. He has hired Lazard Ltd. to do a strategic analysis of the company and to make recommendations concerning possible new board members.
* Icahn is proposing a split-up: Icahn has proposed that TWX spin off its cable subsidiary and repurchase $20 billion in stock. It is not clear whether Icahn might modify his strategy to split up the company into cable, AOL, publishing, and content/television stations.
* Increasing risk of shareholder-friendly strategy: While we don't think it likely that TWX would completely spin off Time Warner Cable, we see the risk of additional share buybacks, asset sales, or split-ups that could lead to deteriorating credit quality.
* We change to Underperform from Market Perform: We believe that increased event risk and headline risk is likely to make TWX bonds volatile, with the risk of further spread widening. As a result, we change our opinion on TWX to Underperform from Market Perform. In light of the likelihood of increasing leverage and event risk, we downgrade TWX to BBB from BBB+. We change the Credit Trend to "Deteriorating" from "Stable".
Time Warner 7 December (UBS) Underperform from Market Perform
Time Warner: We change to Underperform from Market Perform
The following is a summary of a UBS report on this topic, dated December 7, 2005.
* Icahn hires Lazard Ltd. to analyze TWX: Icahn has made further efforts to change strategy at TWX. He has hired Lazard Ltd. to do a strategic analysis of the company and to make recommendations concerning possible new board members.
* Icahn is proposing a split-up: Icahn has proposed that TWX spin off its cable subsidiary and repurchase $20 billion in stock. It is not clear whether Icahn might modify his strategy to split up the company into cable, AOL, publishing, and content/television stations.
* Increasing risk of shareholder-friendly strategy: While we don't think it likely that TWX would completely spin off Time Warner Cable, we see the risk of additional share buybacks, asset sales, or split-ups that could lead to deteriorating credit quality.
* We change to Underperform from Market Perform: We believe that increased event risk and headline risk is likely to make TWX bonds volatile, with the risk of further spread widening. As a result, we change our opinion on TWX to Underperform from Market Perform. In light of the likelihood of increasing leverage and event risk, we downgrade TWX to BBB from BBB+. We change the Credit Trend to "Deteriorating" from "Stable".
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