|
I am a student at Columbia business school
and I would like to know the intricacies of swaps. I know that they are becoming popular now
that interest rates are dropping.
How do they work with bonds and do they depend on
the types?
I
know that they are becoming popular now that interest
rates are dropping....
How
do they work with bonds and do they depend on the types?
Basically,
a bond swap is an exchange of two or more bonds issues.
Effectively, you are changing one cash flow for another.
A simple type of swap (or hopefully, portfolio
improvement) involves the sale of an overvalued issue
for one that is fairly or even undervalued. In a broad
sense, when yield spreads between quality grades are
narrow, portfolio managers would look to upgrade since
the higher quality issues are relatively more attractive
than the lower quality ones. When spreads are wide then
look to downgrade. Note that not all bond swaps are
portfolio improvements. Sometimes they may only benefit
the bond salesman and his firm.
Other
types of swaps may involve going from long bonds to
shorter issues and vice versa, quality improvements,
anticipation of downgrades or upgrades, etc.
In
the municipal market one often hears of tax swapping
towards year end. This involves the sale of a bond in
which you have a loss and the purchase of another with
similar or better characteristics. They can not be
identical issues.
More
complex are interest rate swaps used by corporations and
sophisticated investors. These allow investors, issuers
etc to exchange two different sets of future cash flows.
Swaps are often used by borrowers when they exchange a
fixed rate liability for a floating rate liability and
vice versa.
More detailed information can be found in Frank Fabozzi,
editor, The Handbook of Fixed Income Securities, 4th
edition, Irwin. The Columbia Business School library
should have a copy.
I have
a friend diagnosed with lupus. He only had 18,000 from
retirement fund to live on plus $800 monthly from
disability. Any suggestions on investing the $18k to
generate monthly income?
I
am sorry but I am unable to offer specific advice on
individual securities.
You
should seek out a broker from a reputable firm to assist
your friend. There is much more to know than that he has
$18,000 and needs monthly income. The broker will be in
a position to help.
But he will have to ask alot of questions since
it is important for him to "know his customer"
in order to prepare the right suggestions.
Remember
one thing, the higher the income or yield, the greater
the risk whether it is credit risk, interest rate risk,
call risk etc.
Sir, I
wish to rollover $1m into some type of investment that
will guarantee my principle and give me return like that
of the stock market, my time horizon is five years, why
is this so impossible?
Your question is good and something people have been
striving for since the beginning of time, namely good
returns and no risk to principal. Unfortunately, there
is no such thing as a free lunch and I don't know of any
way of investing your $1 million for five years with a
guaranteed return of principal and a return of the stock
market.
Taxes
are not considered in the answer to your query. You can
invest the money and get a guaranteed return of
principal if you invest in zero coupon Treasury bonds
known as STRIPS. A five-year STRIP due in February 2001
sells for about 76 3/8 or $763.75 per $1,000 principal
amount. This is an approximate yield to maturity of
5.38% certainly not a return to tickle you heart and not
competitive with average equity returns over the long
term. I believe that the Ibbotson figures for equity
total returns since the 1920s (?) is in the 9 to 10%
compounded rate of return. This includes periods of
losses and much lower returns and periods of higher
returns. Obviously, other stock indices have given other
returns as shown below.
To
get a return greater than the STRIP requires taking some
additional risk. With the Treasury STRIP we do not have
credit risk or reinvestment risk to worry about.A five
year Treasury coupon issue will provide you with
guaranteed principal but there will be some reinvestment
risk since you do not know the yields you will have for
coupon reinvestment. If you went to all equities you
would be expecting something higher than STRIPS but you
then will have higher risks. Who is to say that anyone
will make the right stock selection. Professional stock
pickers often have a tough time. Time is on the side of
a patient investor but five years may not be enough.
Will the next five years have returns like that of the
recent past as shown below? Who knows.
Annual
Total Returns (%), 1990 to 1995
|
|
1990
|
1991
|
1992
|
1993
|
19941995
|
|
Five Year STRIP
|
9.75
|
18.14
|
7.78
|
11.65
|
-4.87
|
19.96
|
|
Five Year Treasury Bond
|
8.42
|
14.48
|
5.70
|
11.23
|
-4.00
|
17.34
|
|
ML Hi-Yield Index
|
-4.35
|
34.58
|
18.16
|
17.18
|
-1.16
|
19.91
|
|
NASDAQ
|
-16.13
|
59.01
|
16.85
|
15.70
|
-2.42
|
40.70
|
|
S&P 500
|
-3.15
|
30.45
|
7.64
|
10.07
|
1.29
|
37.51
|
It
seems to me that your tolerance for risk is not too high
and that you need that million in five years. Under
those circumstances it is my opinion that you will have
to look at the no risk 5-year STRIP. Sorry that I
couldn't come up with a magic solution for you.
Can you
give me preliminary information on what constitute
Performance Bonds backed by Sally Mae's? Are they
Government Bonds based on government guaranteed
mortgages, and if not, what kind of financial instrument
are they? In what denominations do they come, and what
is their usual life?
I checked my Sallie Mae file for info on Performance
Bonds. I also checked my firm's files and I called my
database analyst and we couldn't come up with an answer.
I called SLMA and couldn't get a person. My analyst
called and talked with his contact. He never heard of
the item in question.
My
guess is that these are not securities but performance
bonds as used in public construction projects. Black's
Law Dictionary says a performance bond or a completion
bond is given to insure that a contract once awarded
will be completed as awarded within a period of time.
Also, a bond which guarantees that a contractor will
perform the contract and guarantees against the breech
of the contract.
Performance
bonds can be purchased through insurance companies.
Maybe, SLMA will also take for the projects it may be
involved in, a bond (not a security) that may be backed
up by collateral consisting of its securities.
Sorry
that I can not be of any more help.
I am
looking for a definition of duration and information on
how to calculate duration.
Is
duration only applicable to variable rate securities?
A
simple definition of duration is the weighted average of
the present value of the cash flows from a bond taking
into account the amounts of the payments as well as the
timing of those payments. The resulting figure is a
measure of the volatility risk associated with the bond.
The number shows how much a bond's price changes for a
given percentage change in interest rates. If a bond's
duration is 4.5 years, the price of a bond will fall
4.5% for a 1% rise in rates.
The
assumption that the cash flow will not change when the
yield curve shifts in a parallel fashion makes sense for
option-free bonds such as non-callable Treasury issues.
The same can not be said for corporates with call
features and sinking funds. Yield changes can alter cash
flows.
With
variable rate securities, measuring duration will be
more difficult than with fixed rate issues for the
simple reason that one does not know the cash flows
ahead of time.
The
book, CORPORATE BONDS: STRUCTURES AND ANALYSIS by Wilson
and Fabozzi )1996) says:
"Modified duration is a measure in which it is assumed
that yield changes do not change the expected cash
flow." It says that "Effective duration....in
which recognition is given to the fact that yield
changes may change the effective cash flow."
For
more duration info you may be able to get the above book
at your library or bookstroe. You may also look in THE
HANDBOOK OF FIXED INCOME SECURITIES by Frank J. Fabozzi.
As
a kid, the only duration I knew was when people went off
to the armed forces for the duration plus six months.
Do you think that the
yield curve will steepen (2s-30s). 98 bps is awful flat
given that the FED is likely to keep policy on hold
until Spring.
I am not a student of the yield curve but my thoughts
are below.
Yes,
the yield curve seems relatively flat but I can't tell
you when it is going to get much steeper though I expect
that it will. Right now the long bond doesn't have a lot
of appeal to me in that I don't think that one is
getting paid enough to extend.
However,
the basis point spread has widened somewhat in the past
month. Today the yield spread between the 2-year
Treasury and the long guy is 105 bp (4.99% to 6.04%). At
the start of the month the spread was 80 bp (5.15% to
5.95%). A year and a month ago, January 2, 1995, there
was a FLAT curve in the 2/30 year with the 2 year T at
7.69% and the 30 year T at 7.88.
There
was an article recently in Forbes that showed 10-year
bond yields versus credit rating. It seemed to me that
to go from AAA bonds all the way to BBB bonds did not
give that much extra return. Only when you went from AAA
bonds to real junk did you get a big difference in
yield. I
am a conservation investor but I don't feel I am getting
paid to buy anything other than AAA bonds. When do you
think additional risk is worth it? Should I just take a
deep breath and buy real junk bonds? Or should I just
forget buying bonds all together?
Thanks for your inquiry of the other day. Yes, there is a
big difference in yield between AAA corporate bonds and
CCC corporate bonds. There is also a big difference in
risk. A bond rated 'AAA' is of the highest credit
quality and has an exceptionally strong ability to pay
interest and repay principal in accordance with the
terms of the bond agreement. This ability is unlikely to
be affected by reasonably foreseeable events.
On
the other hand, a "CCC" rated bond (the upper
rung of the category which is predominantly speculative
and with substantial risk) is defined by Standard &
Poor's Corporation as having
"... a currently identifiable vulnerability to default,
and is dependent upon favorable business, financial and
economic conditions to meet timely payment ...."
Further, " In the event of adverse business,
financial or economic concditions, it is not likely to
have the capacity to pay interest and repay
principal."
Since
you say you are a conservative investor, you can see
that bonds falling into the highly speculative category
(CCC) are not for you. While you may get a high yield or
current return (interest rate divided by price), you may
get a low total return. Total return takes into account
the interest received, any change in price (up or DOWN),
and income from the reinvestment of the interest earned.
The risk of default is much higher in the lower rating
categories and so the risk of a loss (negative dollar
return) is higher. Ratings are an overall good indicator
of default risk.
Going
further into you query, I'd be very careful about taking
a deep breath and "buy real junk bonds." It
could prove to be too much of a shock for the
conservative investor's system. I believe that
conservative investors ought to limit their bond
investing to mostly 'AAA' and "AA' bonds with
perhaps, some touch of high-end single-'A" paper.
For those who may be less risk averse, venturing
carefully into the lower medium-grade category of 'BBB'
is acceptable. Even some well-selected upper-end 'BB'
issues may be okay for some investors.
I
believe in modest diversification of a corporate bond
portfolio but the lower down in quality an investor
goes, the more diversification is required. Most
individual investors neither have the time nor the
resources to properly manage a diversified portfolio of
speculative grade debt. Fundamental corporate credit and
bond information is much harder to obtain than for
publicly traded equity. Information flows easier to the
larger institutional players with large transactions to
place. Also, price information is tougher to come by
with the spread between the bid and the offer prices
often wider than for high grade bonds. Prices of most
speculative bonds are not frequently published. The Wall
Street Journal, Barron's and perhaps a couple others
publish small lists of prices or valuations for some of
the more actively-traded issues. Of course, prices and
quotes for bonds listed on the New York Stock Exchange
are quite readily available. Therefore, in my opinion,
the logical place for most investors wanting to be in
the speculative grade bond market is in the high-yield
bond mutual funds. Again, one may want to invest in
three different one so that you have some
diversification among portfolio managers.
You
ask when is the additional risk worth it? The additional
risk may be worth it when the additional expected reward
is high. This may occur AFTER a company goes belly-up
and enters bankruptcy. It may be worth it when everyone
is shying award from the additional risk of the
speculative grade market as back around 1990 when many
issues were practically being given away. BUT it is only
worth it to well-informed, unemotional investors.
I
can't tell you to "forget about buying bonds
altogether" since I do not know anything about your
needs, goals and objectives. You could be a conservative
25 year old with great prospects who doesn't need senior
securities. On the other hand, you could be a 99 year
old who probably shouln't even buy green bananas!.
Sit
back and do a self analysis about your investment goals
and objectives. Factor in your emotional and risk taking
profile. Review what you have done with your investments
to date. Why did you buy and why did you sell. Have you
relied on sound advice or did you pick up your
information at the lodge? Take time doing the review and
reflect on what you have learned.
I
trust this is helpful and will lead you on the path
towards reaching your goals, what ever they may be.
I'm
looking for a safe place to put $5,000 offering a high
yield at this time (7% or higher) any suggestions?
I'm looking for a safe place to put $5,000
offering a high yield at this time (7% or higher) any
suggestions?
To give specific investment advice,
one needs to know more about a persons investment needs
and risk tolerance. We recommend that you talk to a
couple of reputable brokers or financial planners if you
do not already have one. (21st Century Municipals, Inc.
is not a broker/dealer or registered investment advisor
and is therefore unable to give individual investment
advice.)
You
may also review upcoming bond issues and current bond
offerings from broker/dealers in the Bonds & Brokers
section on Bonds Online. We also expect to have more
bonds available for you to research in the near future.
I'm 64
and recently put 20% of my portfolio in these bonds.
These are the only bonds I have. The rest is in equities
and cash. Was this a good move or should i consider
something else. My
asset allocation is currently 40% cash,40%equities, and
20% bonds.
You expressed doubts about your recent action of buying
some bonds. Why you are expressing these doubts I don't
know? Perhaps you were "SOLD" the bondsand
they were not purchased after a thorough review of your
status. Its tough to give advice to someone who is
unknown to the writer. Your asset allocation seems a bit
too heavy in fixed income, but that partly depends upon
one's temperment. Your cash portion also seems high but
how much of that is for a reserve for everyday
contingencies and how much is a reserve for purchases of
equities at perhaps less lofty levels? Are you still
working and if so, how long do you expect to work.? What
are the other sources of income?
Your
bond portion perhaps could be spread over three to five
issues with staggered maturities such as some due in 3,
6, 9, and 12 years or so. As they mature you will invest
at the then current levels but you would have a fairly
stable income.
Your
specific Federal Home Loan Bank Notes, 7.10% due
February 22, 2011 are rated 'AAA'. Note that according
to the Bloomberg bond data the maturity is shown as
February 7. I couldn't find a February 22 maturity date
but perhaps I missed it. In any case, they are issued by
a U.S. Government sponsored enterprise (GSE). They are
not guaranteed by the federal government and the
resources for payment come from its operations. However,
while there is no explicit federal backing, market
participants believe that if anything were to go wrong
then the Feds would come to its rescue.
This
is a relatively small issue -- $50 million -- which may
be more difficult to sell in the secondary market if you
have to do so. I also imagine that as an individual
investors you bought an odd lot, i.e., fewer than $1
million face amount which may mean a slightly lower
price in case of a sale. The notes offer little call
protection. They are discretely callable. That is, they
are callable only on specific dates. This issue is
callable on 10 days notice from the issuer each February
7th and August 7th starting with the 8/7/96 call date at
a price of 100% of par or face value. As long as
interest rates don't improve from current levels there
is small likelihood that the issue will be called away
from you. But if rates decline again the chances of
premature redemption increase. The issue will be called
by FHLB when it is in their best interests, not the
interest of the investor. While I can not tell you where
rates are headed, this could end up being a shorter term
investment than you originally believed. Don't be led
astray by the maturity being 15 years away.
You
bought a bond with a relatively higher yield than bonds
of similar maturity and quality. The main reason for the
greater yield is the lack of call protection with some
of the remaining difference due to the the GSE status,
issue size and other technical factors. If you will look
at the Treasury bond tables, you will see that there are
no non-callable coupon issues due in 2011. If there were
they would probably be quoted around a yield to maturity
in the range of 6.35% to 6.50% . Your bonds are around
the 7.30 to 7.35% area. Is it better to have the FHLB
issue for one, two or three years until it is called (I
doubt that it will live to maturity) or a lower yielding
Treasury issue where you are more assured of the coupon
to maturity?
I
hope this has been helpful. Bond investing isn't easy.
Even with Government bonds there are many things to
ponder.
I have a considerable
portfolio and I am nervous about the stock market at
these levels. I would like to know what is your advice
on setting up a portfolio of bonds that will give off
income and preserve capital for the long term? What
should I buy to accomplish Income and hold on to
capital?
In view of your goals of income and capital preservation
as well as your nervousness with the level of the equity
market, I suggest a fairly simple portfolio of high
grade (AAA and AA rated) bonds. If you have a tax
problem then it would be in tax exempt issues. If you
have a tax-exempt fund such as a pension plan of some
type, then I would look at taxable issues--corporates,
Treasuries and agencies.
Use
a ladder maturity approach with bonds maturing every two
years or so out to about 10 to 12 years, This way you
will have bonds maturing every couple of years being
rolled over into new bond investments at whatever level
interest rates are at that time.
You
do not have to put all of your money to work at one
time. You may wish to invest your assets as you sell
stocks or, if you have a lump sum, over a period of a
couple of months. Your manner of investing is whatever
way you feel comfortable with. Perhaps you take a
position in a stock over several trades over a period of
weeks. You might want to do the same in bonds, assuming
you are dealing with large liquid issues.
Just
because your salesman offers you an issue that may meet
your credit quality parameters doesn't mean you have to
buy it. There may be some names that you may not feel
comfortable with. In that case, look for something else.
However,
make sure that you know about the credit quality of the
bonds you are buying. Is the issuer or issue on a rating
agency's watch list? If so, what is the possible
direction of the rating? What are the interest payment
dates, the maturity date, call, refunding and sinking
fund dates (if any) and these provisions. What are the
options for additional or increase sinking fund
payments? What is the tax status of the issue.
Treasuries are exempt from state income taxes. If a
tax-exempt issue, is the interest subject to alternative
minimum tax (AMT) treatment?. Is a prospectus or
offering circular available? If so, get it and read it.
If
investing in corporate names, I would stick with issues
with a minimum size of at least $100 million and
preferable $150 to $200 million. A NYSE listing may also
give you comfort for at least you will see prices from
time to time to help you keep track. I would avoid
agency issues of less than the same amounts. Since you
are a stock market investor, consider keeping some of
your stock proceeds in cash reserves for possible
reinvestment into equities when they again reach levels
that you feel are attractive.
The
above suggestions are given without the benefit of
knowing any details your age, work status, income tax
bracket, ability to assume risk, etc. But bond investing
can be complex. Know the terms and provisions of the
issues you are buying before you invest.
We have
an estate in which i'm an executor.
There is a sizeable amount of bonds left to us.
All series EE, and in 500.00 1000.00 and
10,000.00 dollar denominations.
My question is how can we ( the 2 executors)
properly redistribute the bonds in the airs names by
ourselves without having the attorney. The attorney is
handling house, bank acc. Etc. But there is such a
sizeable amount of bonds we would like to do this
ourselves to save on his commission which I feel is high
and is on everything he handles.
It seems as though the deceased did not name a beneficiary on
the Series EE bonds when they were purchased or that
there were no co-owners. Is that correct? If a
beneficiary had been named or there is a co-owner then
he or she automatically becomes the owner of the bond.
In order to redeem the bond, the beneficiary must
present the redemption agent (a bank or savings
institution) with a copy of the death certificate of the
registered owner.
In
the case of bonds registered in the name of the deceased
but with no named beneficiary, they become part of the
estate. The executor should go to the local bank to see
what they require to effect a redemption. Again, you
will need at least one copy of the death certificate. I
think one will do if all the bonds are redeemed at one
time; however, more might be required. You will probably
have to show the bank that you are authorized to make
the redemption. I believe that the proceeds will have to
be payable to the estate and the executors of the estate
will write checks to the heirs.
Savings bonds are not transferable. Therefore, the bonds
can't be redistributed to the heirs. Also, since they
are part of the estate, there may be estate taxes to
pay.
What is
a CMO. What are the risk characteristics?
CMO
stands for Collateralized Mortgage Obligation.
Introduced in 1983 as an improvement to the traditional
mortgage securities, these are collateralized by pools
of residential mortgages. The financial engineers at the
issuers (such as Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation,
Federal National Mortgage Association) divide the CMO
into various levels or tranches with different
maturities and payment characteristics. The interest and
principal payments (including prepayments of principal)
are passed through to the holders. Principal payments
are made according to a paydown schedule and are
generally directed towards one tranche until it is
retired and then to the next tranche, and so on
sequentially.
When
interest rates decline, mortgage payers repay and
refinance existing debt with the result CMO holders get
their principal repaid earlier than originally scheduled
. When rates rise, p-repayments are fewer and the CMO
takes longer to be repaid.
Plain
vanilla CMO tranches are those that receive principal
payments in sequential order. The final tranche, known
as the Z-bond or the accrual bond, don't receive any
interest or principal payments until all of the other
tranches have been paid off. They accrue or accrete
interest until principal and interest are available to
service these securities. These are much more price
sensitive to interest rate movements and are among the
most volatile of the mortgage investments.
Some
CMOs have a Planned Amortization Class, known as PAC
bonds. These amortize according to a predetermined
sinking fund schedule thus enhancing the degree of cash
flow certainty or stability and transferring to other
tranches a greater degree of cash flow uncertainty. Of
course, if repayments on the underlying mortgages
drastically change from those originally used in the
repayment calculations, then the cash flow of the PAC
issue could be affected.
There
are also Companion Bonds which absorb the variability in
principal repayments. When interest rates rise, the
average lives of these bonds increase.
In
addition, there can be tranches that pay Interest Only (IOs)
or Principal Only (POs). These are extremely sensitive
to mortgage repayments and are suitable for only the
most risk oriented mortgage investors.
Fitch
Investors Service is one rating agency applying
volatility ratings to CMO securities. These ratings are
opinions as to the relative sensitivity of the
security's price and cash flows to changes in interest
rates. Ratings of V-1 and V-2 have low market risk,
exhibit interest rate risk comparable to short duration
Treasuries, and perform consistently across a range of
rate scenarios. On the other hand, High to Speculative
Risk categories, V-8, V-9 and V-10, experience sharp,
severe variations in performance across a range of
interest rate scenarios. They have extreme sensitivity
to interest rate movements.
CMOs
have many different risk and reward characteristics.
They can be quite complex instruments with many of the
tranches unsuitable for most individual investors, in my
opinion. You should carefully read the quite wordy
offering memorandum and get the risk rating from your
salesperson before committing to a CMO investment. Some
tranches may have very limited marketability later on.
We are
looking for input on yield calculation of floating rate
bonds in high-volatility/high inflation markets.
Specifically what are your suggestions for comparing
floating rate yields to fixed rate yields in these
conditions?
Suggest you look at the following books for more
information regarding floating rate yields.
CORPORATE
BONDS: Structures and Analysis by Wilson and Fabozzi,
1996 Frank J. Fabozzi Associates. Section 2 deals with
bond pricing and yield measures.
Fabozzi's
THE HANDBOOK OF FIXED INCOME SECURITIES, 4th Edition
(Irwin) may also be helpful.
Fabozzi
also edited FLOATING RATE INSTRUMENTS: Characteristics,
Valuation and Portfolio Strategies (Probus Publishing
1986). This has a couple of chapters on evaluating
floating rate notes.
In
addition, there are several books in the market on bond
math including one by Frank J. Fabozzi.
These
books ought to give you the input you need for yield
calculations for floaters.
Funds
such as Invesco high yield, TRowe high yield etc.
looking at high yield plus appreciation on theory that
the interest rates will drop before the end of the year.
What
do you think (a) of the idea in general and (b) safety
of the investments?
I don't think too much of your plan to buy high yield
mutual funds on the theory that rates will be lower at
year end and thus you will get principal appreciation
and high yield. Rates have been rising for several
months and the long T-bond just got over 7%. How high
will it go and when? Interest rate forecasting is a
tough game. Last night on Rukheyser (?) Wall Street Week
one of the panelists said rates will stay in the 7 to
7.25% ranges for a while before going down again. That's
nice and may happen. The speaker has a good stock
picking record. On the other hand The Wall Street
Journal has a semi-annual poll of economists about
interest rate projections. Of the 28 surveys since June
1982, there were only eight in which they got the
direction correct according to Ryan Labs research. What
about if rates continue up to 7 1/2% or higher and don't
drop as much as you would like? You will be starting
behind the 8 ball.
High
yield bonds are less sensitive to interest rate
movements than high grade bonds. If you are interested
in speculating on interest rate movements, why not by
Treasury STRIPS or futures and really get a bang for
your buck.
If you go into high yield funds then you should have a
longer term perspective, not a short term play. The
funds offer high yield because they invest in
speculative grade bonds, those rated Ba and BB and lower
by the rating agencies. They have the lower ratings
because the risk of default is greater than more secure
bonds. You do get diversification and "professional
management" which can reduce risk but one can't
call them safe investments. The funds you mention are
decent with good records over the last one year and five
years to 12/31/95 but for the ten years they returned
9.37% annually for Invesco and 9.11% for Price, lower
returns than for the Lehman Corporate Index or the
average junk fund according to Charles Schwab.
If bond
prices and yields are inversely related, why are
increasing bond prices considered a good thing?
When bond prices go down, yields go up. When bond prices
increase, yields go down. It is like a see saw. One side
is up and the other is down.
Therefore,
when bond prices increase yields decline. This is
considered a good thing because when interest rates tend
to go down, it becomes cheaper for companies to borrow.
When rates are high, consumers and business tend to
borrow less. If they borrow less, then they tend to
spend less. Thus lower interest rates encourages
spending.
Residential
housing tends to do better when rates are lower. Are you
more inclined to buy a new house or a new car when
interest rates are at 15% or when they are at 7%?
Corporations
have more projects that are profitable when interest
rates are 7% than when they are at 15%.
In
summary, increasing bond prices are considered a good
thing and declining bond prices are considered a bad
thing, unless, of course, you are the devil! (humor
intended)
Looking for international
brady bonds and ratings and returns.
I
would suggest that you visit the new Bradynet Web Site
at www.bradynet.com. I believe you will be able to get
most of the information you are looking for from this
group.
I have
about 150 junk bonds in my portfolio. I buy some each
week. As you know the market has been against me and I
am in no hurry, it seems to be changing some now. Do you
inventory bonds or broker them?
We
are not a registered broker and do not inventory bonds.
If I can be of assistance and any other form, please do
not hesitate to send a question.
I
was doing some reading in bonds related topics and
stumbled across some concepts that still puzzle, please
enlighten on the following questions:
Q1.)The rationale of benchmarking a portfolio to
a widely publicized local bond index, besides the
seeming obvious function as a standard to which
performance is relatively evaluated.
Q2.)By so benchmarking to the bond index, does it
reveal other parameter measures such as volatilities and
liquidities? Q3.)How are the inputs of risk measures of
Duration, Mod. Duration, and Convexity being used in the
process of formulating one's portfolio strategy?
Your
question is complex and requires more than what I can
say here. I suggest that you expand your reading to a
good book or books on portfolio management in practice
and in theory. The main purpose of benchmarking a
portfolio to an index is to provide the portfolio
manager with a guideline as to his relative performance.
If the portfolio can not beat the index selected, then
perhaps it should buy the index and the manager should
get sacked. However, selecting the proper index or
indices is important as is the weighting one gives them.
If your fund is an intermediate term investment grade
corporate portfolio, then it should be measured against
an intermediate term corporate index such as Lehman
Brothers of Merrill's. The index should reflect your
portfolio. If you maintain 25% cash type investments,
then the benchmark ought to reflect that, in my opinion.
Duration, convexity etc. are measures of price
volatility and inter state risk. Knowing the duration of
a bond or a bond portfolio reveals how sensitive it is
to changes in interest rates.
Again,
this is a meaty subject and too much for complete
explanation here.
I would like to know about the
interest rate on Canadian savings bonds and any other
low risk bonds or investments you could suggest.
I don't have access to information on Canadian Savings Bonds.
You may want to do a search in the Internet or call any
major bank in Canada for the current interest rates.
As
far as any other low risk bonds, I would assume your
interested in Treasury securities or AAA rated general
obligation municipal bonds. You can also try a municipal
bond fund or government fund.
There
is plenty of information available on all these
investments on the Internet. Make sure visit the other
pages of BONDS ONLINE to see if we have what you are
looking for.
|